Thursday, June 18, 2009

TZA'rd

TZA fell out of channel, yesterday, and now appears to be retesting the lower channel line. Often, when prices reverse near a channel's center line before breaking out, they retest the channel line subsequently broken. If prices come from the opposite extreme of a channel before breaking out, they don't retest. Note on the daily graph in the upper left corner, TZA is just entering a Bollinger squeeze.

TNA mirrors TZA with opposite movements. TNA, too, seems entering a Bollinger squeeze, although the pattern seems less clear. It also approaches its 50-day moving average, thus, a suspected retest. Although up for the day, it was up on lower volume, suggesting this just a correction of the move down.

These movements should be of little surprise since these ETFs represent the Russell 2000 small cap stocks, and the RUTX is moving into a Bollinger squeeze. It os also testing its 200-day and 50-day moving averages simultaneously. Whether it breaks through these, or merely bounces, is yet to be determined. Therefore, the eventual direction of TNA and TZA is yet to be determined.

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